//Background//---
In the United Kingdom, the number of new SARS-CoV-2 infection is
47,599 in 19/July, 2021 according to JHU CSSE COVID-19 Data. In this country,
B.1.617.2 (delta) variant mainly emerged in India in December 2020 has been
largely confirmed due to travel from India and with community infection(2). Probably,
the infection wave from early June, 2021 in U.K may mainly include this
variant.
Jamie
Lopez Bernal, Nick Andrews report the epidemiological data on two vaccine
efficacy against infection in a comparative way of B.1.1.7 (Alpha variant) and
B.1.617.2 (Delta variant)(1). I want to share a part of this important report
with the global readers.
//B.1.617.2 delta variant//---
*Spike protein mutations: T19R, Δ157-158, L452R, T478K, D614G, P681R and D950N 1
*Key antigenic binding domain to ACE2
receptor: 452(L452R), 478(L478).
These mutations could elevate infectivity
to cell besides D614G.
*P681R is at the S1-S2 cleavage site
associated to endocytosis into cell, leading to high infectivity(3).
*Therefore, B.1.617.2 could have high
replication rate through high cell infectivity, so it threatens to rapidly make
community transmission.
//Evaluate Condition(1)//---
*Vaccine: BNT162b2(Pfizer/BioNTech), ChAdOx1
nCoV-19 (AstraZeneca)
*Nation: England
*Collected Data: From October 26, 2020 to
May 16, 2021
*Age: 16 years and older than it
*Total: 19,109 participants
*Alpha variant: 14,873 / Delta variant:
4272 -- PCR positive
*Interval from dose 1 to dose 2: about 55
days and 85 days (See Figure S2)
Therefore, interval is longer than general
protocol (21 days).
*PCR conduction criteria: high temperature,
new continuous cough, loss or change in sense of smell or taste
//Result(1)(See Table 2)//---
Total / PCR-positive / infection rate -- in
this order
(Alpha variant)
*Unvaccinated: 96,371 / 7,313 / 0.076
*BNT162b2 vaccine Dose 1(partly
vaccinated):
8,641 / 450 / 0.052 Efficacy: 47.5%
*BNT162b2 vaccine Dose 2(fully vaccinated):
15,749 / 49 / 0.003 Efficacy: 93.7%
* ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine Dose 1(partly
vaccinated):
42,829 / 1776 / 0.041 Efficacy: 48.7%
*ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine Dose 2: (fully
vaccinated)
8,244 / 94 / 0.011 Efficacy: 74.5%
-
(Delta variant)
*Unvaccinated: 96,371 / 4,043 / 0.042
*BNT162b2 vaccine Dose 1(partly
vaccinated):
8,641 / 137 / 0.016 Efficacy: 35.6%
*BNT162b2 vaccine Dose 2(fully vaccinated):
15,749 / 122 / 0.008 Efficacy: 88.0%
* ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine Dose 1(partly
vaccinated):
42,829 / 1356 / 0.032 Efficacy: 30.0%
*ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine Dose 2: (fully
vaccinated)
8,244 / 218 / 0.026 Efficacy: 67.0%
//Conclusion(1)//---
*Fully vaccination (2 times dose) is needed
to prevent infection owing to significant improvement vaccine efficacy compared
to unvaccinated and Dose 1 groups.
*BNT162b2 vaccine is relatively higher than
ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine in prevention in 2 times dose condition.
//Discussion//---
*The data on the admission number to a
hospital with moderate-to-severe symptomatic case is needed for evaluation of
social risk against B.1.617.2 variant. Vaccine have been found to be highly
efficacious against symptomatic disease necessary to admission in clinical
trials(4-6) and epidemiologically(7-11). However, to my knowledge, efficacy
rate against moderate-to-severe symptomatic case exclusively on B.1.617.2
(delta) variant has not been officially published. Therefore, the
epidemiological data against these symptomatic case on this variant is socially
needed.
*Vaccination is epidemiologically
effectives even in current spreading Delta variant, so herd immunity owing to
high vaccination rate, but not hesitancy is socially important. Therefore,
polite communication between medicine, government and citizen based on
scientific data including safety issue (i.e. side effect) is needed to elevate
vaccination rate.
//Support(1)//---
Supported by Public Health England (PHE).
The Covid-19 Genomics U.K. Consortium (COG-UK) is supported by funding from the
Medical Research Council part of U.K. Research and Innovation, the National
Institute of Health Research, and Genome Research, operating as the Wellcome
Sanger Institute.
//Special note on ethics//---
Surveillance of coronavirus disease 2019
(Covid-19) testing and vaccination is undertaken under Regulation 3 of the
Health Service (Control of Patient Information) Regulations 2002 to collect
confidential patient information
(www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2002/1438/regulation/3/made. opens in new tab)
under Sections 3(i) (a) to (c), 3(i)(d) (i) and (ii), and 3. The study protocol
was subject to an internal review by the Public Health England Research Ethics
and Governance Group and was found to be fully compliant with all regulatory
requirements. Given that no regulatory issues were identified and that ethics
review is not a requirement for this type of work, it was decided that a full
ethics review would not be necessary.
//Acknowledgement(1)//---
We thank the members of the PHE Covid-19
Data Science Team, the PHE Outbreak Surveillance Team, NHS England, NHS
Digital, and NHS Test and Trace for their roles in developing and managing the
testing for severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), variant
identification and vaccination systems, and data sets, as well as the reporting
NHS vaccinators and the staff of the NHS laboratories, PHE laboratories, and
lighthouse laboratories; the staff of the Wellcome Sanger Institute and other
laboratories that were involved in whole-genome sequencing of samples obtained
from patients with Covid-19; the members of the Joint Committee on Vaccination
and Immunisation and the U.K. Variant Technical Group for advice and feedback
in developing this study; and Dr. Neil Ferguson for advice on the analysis.
(Reference)
(1)
Jamie Lopez Bernal, F.F.P.H., Ph.D., Nick
Andrews, Ph.D., Charlotte Gower, D.Phil., Eileen Gallagher, Ph.D., Ruth
Simmons, Ph.D., Simon Thelwall, Ph.D., Julia Stowe, Ph.D., Elise Tessier,
M.Sc., Natalie Groves, M.Sc., Gavin Dabrera, M.B., B.S., F.F.P.H., Richard
Myers, Ph.D., Colin N.J. Campbell, M.P.H., F.F.P.H., Gayatri Amirthalingam,
M.F.P.H., Matt Edmunds, M.Sc., Maria Zambon, Ph.D., F.R.C.Path., Kevin E.
Brown, M.R.C.P., F.R.C.Path., Susan Hopkins, F.R.C.P., F.F.P.H., Meera Chand,
M.R.C.P., F.R.C.Path., and Mary Ramsay, M.B., B.S., F.F.P.H.
Effectiveness of Covid-19 Vaccines against
the B.1.617.2 (Delta) Variant
The New England Journal of Medicine July
21, 2021
---
Author Affiliations
From Public Health England (J.L.B., N.A.,
C.G., E.G., R.S., S.T., J.S., E.T., N.G., G.D., R.M., C.N.J.C., G.A., M.E.,
M.Z., K.E.B., S.H., M.C., M.R.), the National Institute of Health Research
(NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Vaccines and Immunisation, London
School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (J.L.B., N.A., C.N.J.C., G.A., K.E.B.,
M.R.), the NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Respiratory Infections,
Imperial College London (J.L.B., M.Z.), and Guy’s and St. Thomas’ Hospital NHS
Trust (M.C.), London, and Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial
Resistance, University of Oxford, Oxford (S.H.) — all in the United Kingdom.
(2)
Public Health England. SARS-CoV-2
variants of concern
and variants under investigation in England. Technical
briefing 11. May 13, 2021
(https://assets . publishing . service .
gov . uk/ government/ uploads/
system/ uploads/ attachment_data/ file/
986380/
Variants_of_Concern_VOC_Technical _Briefing_11_England . pdf).
(3)
Johnson BA, Xie X, Kalveram B, et al.
Furin cleavage site is key to SARS-CoV-2
pathogenesis. August 26,
2020
(https://www . biorxiv . org/ content/
10 . 1101/ 2020 . 08 . 26 .
268854v1). preprint.
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N Engl J Med 2020; 383: 2603-15.
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VJ, Foulkes S,
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(10)
Thompson MG, Burgess JL, Naleway AL, et al.
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